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Trading Apple's earnings

Apple Inc. had an uncharacteristic miss in its last report on Oct. 18, 2011, but before that the company had beaten analyst estimates every quarter since 2004

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Apple Inc. had an uncharacteristic miss in its last report on Oct. 18, 2011, but before that the company had beaten analyst estimates every quarter since 2004.

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Apple kicks off fiscal 2012 with first-quarter results after Tuesday’s close, with consensus estimates calling for earnings per share of US$10.12, equating to 57% growth versus one year ago.

Traders react positively to Apple’s report 70% of the time, driving the stock higher an average of 2.4% from the close, to 8 a.m. the following morning, according to Kevin Pleines of Birinyi Associates.

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Regardless of whether the stock is higher or lower after the report, however, the next day from the open to the close, Apple trades lower 67% of the time for an average loss of 0.5%.

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